10th Sept

Osprey's v Cardiff - Ospreys -8.5pts max bet, 3 points!

I was surprised how Cardiff slowed in the second half against Leinster. Things going against Cardiff
- One less day recuperation than Osprey's
- They are playing again on Friday and team selection suggests focus on easier points against Ulster, where Cardiff will be at home
- Shanklin and their best forwards out. 10 changes in total

Postives for Ospreys
- Cardiff couldn't handle Leinster backline the three times they got near the line
- Ospreys have four excellent internationals in the backline
- Ospreys have a excellent 6-8 and with new ELV's and tired players this is going to kill Cardiff.

If I was a spread betting man I'd take everything i could...... Dave.

Worries -

Weather, don't bet until you see the picture on the TV or have a mate in Swansea who can tell you. If its going to be reasonably dry, I'd nearly have a punt on the higher handicap margin or spreads. That being said it is a Derby so Cardiff might be able to raise their tempo, however I really think this could be a thumping.