Leaving work (still on the clock GR) but just wanted to get my tips up.
France v Wales
What is Marc up to? A new 9, 10 partnership who have barely had two full days to train together this week plus Baby hasn't played 10 since September. This decision isn't as bad as Bergamasco in the first round but is equally as puzzling. Combined with the fact the French players played at the weekend, they aren't fresh or prepared. If Philips can break a line this week they are in trouble.
Wales haven't been playing their best but if they play as they can (and offload this time) they'll beat France. Last week they were concerned with beating England rather than playing well. If they play today France could be in trouble. I'm not the only one who thinks Wales are better prepared click here.
Recommendation: Wales Halftime/Fulltime @ 2.4 for 1pts
Ireland v England
Last time England came they were in rag order. It was possibly one of the weakest teams that ever travelled to Dublin, I was not suprised with the result, especially as most of their players played the week before. This year they aren't much better however their expectations are a lot lower.
Ireland will win this game but I couldn't trust us in the handicap, everything says we should beat them by 10 or 11 points but I'd wait until the first ten mins are up to see what England are trying to do. I really don't think they'll have a plan to beat Ireland, but merely to stop Ireland as they did against Wales two weeks ago. We'll either win by 4 points or 14. One thing is with England getting sin bins like its going out of fashion ROG will have plenty of opportunities to kick for penalties.
Recommendation: Ireland Halftime/Fulltime @1.76 for 3pts and first scoring play, Ireland penalty @ 2.82 for 0.5pt.
Best of luck at the weekend and hope you turn a profit!
Prix de L'Arc de Triomphe preview 2024
-
Ah, the great race of Europe which has a petty grudge against geldings. The
rhetoric of why they should be excluded is just nonsense. It's 2024 - has
any...
1 week ago
I really like Wales HT/FT @ 2.4 - great value there. My head says that the Welsh are going to romp home but I've been burned by the French before. You never know when they will suddenly decide to start throwing it around.
ReplyDeleteI think Flood at 10 really hurts england and I'll go with the Ireland -8 for my own money.
There has been one massive punt on Wales this week, evens to 1.67. Unbelievable. They are a lay now.
ReplyDeleteCompletely different team once Baby came off. Best back row in the world? Them or SA.
ReplyDeleteKen,
ReplyDeleteThis is a great blog - very thorough coverage of a sport you clearly know alot about. I know nothing about rugby, more a football, cricket,golf and racing fan but would you like to exchange links with my site http://www.bettingblog.org.uk?
Alex
Yeah Ewan, it was probably their saving grace he went off. I don't think Trin Duc did great when on but the scrum half was excellent. Much sharper than their other one.
ReplyDeleteHarinanorday (can't spell it) was brilliant, unbelieveable.
Where was Roberts for the game? Two very bad games in a row for him.