Friday, April 3, 2009

Sorry I haven't been posting of late. Been pretty busy with other things and getting over a Grand Slam hangover.

Scarlets v Glasgow

Looking at the results over the past few days the one thing that stands out is that the Welsh sides are playing terrible at the moment. Connacht hammering Gwent last night and Cardiff losing away to Edinburgh. Ospreys obviously got a result but with sharper kicking the game would have gone Ulster's way.

I just have a feeling considering how stop start Scarlets can be and terrible they are at the ruck Glasgow might get something out of this game. Stephen Jones always steadies the ship with the Scarlets but I think they might struggle to win here comfortably.

Recommendation: Glasgow +8 on for 1.5 pts on Boyles Won.

Munster v Leinster

I thoroughly enjoyed watching Leinster last week and thought their execution and patience was excellent. Without a few key players they showed great maturity to win when they easily could have been losing at halftime. However Ulster really bottled it. Watching their game now against a poor Osprey's side the form indicates that Leinster may have been flattered by the result because Ulster seemed to have stepped off the gas again.

Munster last week did what they do so well and got the points, comfortably against a side that has proved tricky to all Irish provinces before. The lineup of each side really indicates the coaches viewpoint of the importance of this game. I think Cheika has slightly written it off by bringing Horgan in from the wing to centre and keep Fitz and O'Driscoll out of the squad. The only reason to have Horgan in their could be to challenge the inexperienced Earls in that position. Apart from Rocky I think Leinster will suffer terribly at the breakdown as they didn't provide cover and consistency until well into the second half last week.

It should be an entertaining game but I think McGahan really wants to win the title on Saturday and has picked a team to do so. A French ref brought over for the game may be swayed by the home crowd pressure.

Recommendation: Munster to win half time/full time for 1pt @1.81 on Betfair Won. Munster - 6 @1.91 for 1point on Hills Won.

After this weeks bets current profit: €993.98 (9.9pts) and a 9.56% Return on Investment.

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