Ulster v Scarlets
Scarlets may have lost the Llanelli in their name, If I were one of their fans I'd be more concerned with the fact they they've lost the ablity to win. They've won just one game in the last five and that was in the EDF. Granted last week against Munster they were missing four of their front liners however Munster never play well after Autumn and before a H-Cup round. Thier away form has been poor all season only getting victorys against Ulster (who were shocking at the start of the season) and Dragons in early October.
Ulster meanwhile are kicking on strong as Matt Williams's side finally seem to be playing a full 80mins with a tough defence and strong straight line runners. They've lost Nagusa this weekend however they've got Danelli and Trimble back from injury. More importantly, Humph's Jr. showed a text book kicking display last week missing only one from about 7. With his boot on fire and Scarlets stuttering and seemingly finding it hard to get tries Ulster look to be better prepared, fresh and on form.
Recommendation:- Ulster -4.5pts @2.05 for 2pts. Won
Edinburgh v London Wasps
I've always been sceptical of Wasps ability and they really haven't clicked at all this season and have been very hit and miss. They are going to have plenty of internationals returning this week, but after England's display in November you can't say any of them are on form. Meanwhile, Scotland travel the safe road and some individuals are improving and Edinburghs team is as well. They are practically full strength tomorrow.
More importantly Edinburgh got an excellent away win to Castre (which effectively ended their interest in this years H-Cup) after being on the receiving end of a bad defeat to Leinster. Barring that Leinster win, which was a case of 4/5 errors in 20 mins but an overall solid performance, I think Edinburgh will have the beating of Wasps. They have an excellent home record and considering Wasps away record is mixed of late to full strength squads I think the evens on offer for Edinburgh is excellent. Especially if some bookies have them down at -2.5pts.
Recommendation:- Edinburgh to win @2.0 for 1.5pts. Lost
Clermont v Munster
Just looking at the game coming up.
Munster are way under priced for this game. They got a bonus point from a last minute try after Clermont gave up after getting three tries in the first half in this game last year.
Clermont have been erratic away from home but have shown up and performed each big home game. Beating Toulouse and Stade. At 1.8 to win at home against Munster who haven't played together properly for 6 (they rested some players last week) weeks it appears a steal. Munster are missing Tipoki which is big because Barry Murphy isn't the greatest in defence.
The handicap of -4.5 is nice as well but I'm happy to take the match odds and that price.
Recommendation:- Clermont to win @1.8 for 2pts.Won
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