Heineken Cup Round 5

Leinster v Brive

As always the question many ask for this game is will the French side bother turn up? I'd rather be asking are Leinster ready to turn up?

I don't think Leinster will lose this one, and you'd hope not at a price of 1.02. To be honest though, two teams in the Heineken cup should have such disparging odds as was shown by Treviso earlier this season when Perps came to visit.

With Leinster not having played a game since shortly after Christmas, Jennings and Sexton needing game time and the fact that often when a team gets to 3 tries kicking the points isn't an option I think Brive in the handicap are worth a shout. Leinster have famously struggled even when in good form to put teams to bed when they need a bonus point, however it never stopped them progressing. Remember London Irish only got their bonus point in the last minute in their game against Brive.

Brive haven't their strongest team out but as was seen with Montaubaun in Munster last year, if you have plenty of non French players they still like to take a scalp or put up a fight. Plus they are match fit, have regained some form and won't be encountering anything close to dry hard running pitch which would favour Leinster. With a new coach at Brive players should be out to impress and stick their hands up as they are only a few points off H-Cup qualification again now in the leauge..

Recommendation: Brive +30 at evens for 1.5pts with Boylesports Won. First scoring play, Leinster penalty @2.75 for 1pt with all bookies Lost.

Yesterday's bets:

Ulster v Edinburgh - Ulster HT/FT @ 1.73 for 1pt with Stan James. Lost
Connacht v Montpellier - Connacht -6 @ 1.91 for 2pts with plenty of bookies. Won
Glasgow v Dragons - Glasgow HT/FT @ 1.86 for 1 pt with Betfair. Won