Magners League Jan 2nd

Update - Leinster game has just be cancelled.

Sorry I haven't been posting much over Christmas but some of the games have been unattractive in terms of value. Today is certainly the case in Ireland but not so in Scotland.

Edinburgh v Glasgow

Currently there is sleet showers in Edinburgh and they had Baltic conditions over night, actually where didn't? I was just a point off on unders in Firhill and with Edinburgh having the home advantage today they'll probably stop a strong Glasgow side from kicking plenty of points.

Edinburgh aren't scoring tries and I can't see it being turned around today. Glasgow should be good for a win although they haven't got one here since 2000 but they are playing well.

Recommendation: Glasgow +5 for 1pt with Paddy Powers WON, Under 34 points at evens for 2 points with William Hill LOST.

Connacht v Leinster

Leinster have 9 internationals but you wouldn't be inspired by their performance last week which contained plenty of handling errors. Connacht with about 4 ex Leinster players are always up for this but it's too hard to predict where this is going to go.

I'm going to stay away from this game but my gutt says Connacht might actually nip it in the outright. Leinster had trouble last season motivating themselves for this game, maybe they won't make the same mistake however as we saw with the Dragons away resting a lot of players can drop the squads motivation.

Ulster v Munster

This is an in-running game or betting once you see the pitch for me as you really got to see the conditions in Ravenhill before each game. Rain/sleet is predicted at 6pm according to BBC so the under 35 points with Hills at evens is probably something that won't stay for long if it arrives.

I've thoroughly enjoyed watching Ulster and with a first choice squad back and a strong performance that lacked international finishing (which has now returned) they are deserved favourites. However given the level of their performance in Thomand last time I would expecting odds of 1.8 in the outright.

Really it boils down to how Munster will peform. Ulster should dominate them in the second row with much stronger back three and Humphries and Wallace should be more creative than Warwick who is slotting in at 10. Personally I think Ulster will either win by 10 or lose.

Recommendation: Ulster -9pts at 3.0 for 0.5pts with Will Hills.LOST